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NFL Week 6 picks odds best bets Ravens win in London Buccaneers keep it close with Li - lovelystyle - 03-20-2024
We had a winning record last week, but not a winning week when it came to my top five picks. Weird how that happens sometimes.I picked against the team with the longest active losing streak in the . That did not work out. I picked the to beat the like they always do. That did not happen. And then the were too jet-lagged to play in the first half vs. the . At least picking against the worked out again.Here's a look at what I'm thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.Top five picks ATS record: 11-12-2Overall ATS record: 36-39-3Straight up record: 48-30 Sunday, 9:30 a.m. ET ( Network,)I backed the Titans last week and they let me down, so I'm fading them now. The Titans are usually great on defense, but without in the middle and hurt, they allowed to look like with 195 scrimmage yards and two Adam Butler Jersey touchdowns. Simmons sometimes isn't the same player when he's banged-up, and Tart mi sed practice on Wednesday with his toe injury. Additionally, wide receiver has mi sed the last two games with a knee injury, and he didn't practice on Wednesday either.The Titans have allowed 14 plays of 25+ yards this season, which is tied for third-most in the . and appear to be a budding dynamic duo, and they should be angry/motivated by how last week's matchup vs. the ended.According to the statistics, the Ravens are better than we realize. Baltimore is tied for second in the in points per game allowed (15.0), second in yards per game allowed (266.4) and second in sacks (18) this season. Offensively, Jason Sanders Jersey we know the Ravens can run, and now, Jackson is throwing the ball arguably better than he ever has. Tenne see's defensive front could be banged-up, the secondary is already questionable and the offense averages 17.6 points per game. Betting against Mike Vrabel as an underdog can be dumb, but the Ravens are the better team.The pick:Ravens -4Projected score:Ravens 26-20Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, )The 49ers are the best team in the , but I'm making this a best bet because is injured. He mi sed Week 4 Teddy Bridgewater Jersey vs. the Ravens, and having the bye week last week apparently wasn't enough for him to practice on Wednesday. I'm not ruling him out for Sunday, but even if he does play, I'm gue sing he won't be 100%.The 49ers are the only team that hasn't suffered an ATS lo s this season, but get this: San Francisco's closest game this year was against the , who the 49ers defeated by exactly seven points. The only reason they won by exactly seven points was because Sean McVay . So really, the 49ers should have won every game this year by double-digits. To recap, we have a 4-0-1 ATS team vs. an injured Watson or with the number at a touchdown.The pick:49ers -7Projected score: 49ers 23-13Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox,)Everyone is high on the 4-1 Lions, but we should be relatively high on the 3-1 Buccaneers as well. They are coming off of their bye week while the Lions continue to suffer more injuries. is out for the year after tearing his ACL, is still banged-up and is dealing with a hamstring injury.The Lions are fourth in scoring this season (29.6 points per game), but I have faith in the Buccaneers defense. The Bucs have held their opponents to 17 or fewer points in three out of their four games this season, and are tied for the lead in Byron Jones Jersey turnover margin with the 49ers (+7) and sacks allowed (4). This game could be closer than expected. A home dog with the hook? I'll take that.The pick:Buccaneers +3.5Projected score:Buccaneers 27-24Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox,)This is a get-right spot for , and after a tough lo s to the . The Cardinals are 1-8 in their last nine games against the NFC West, and just lost to injured reserve.Have you noticed that Stafford is slingin' the rock? He has three games with 300+ pa sing yards, which rank most in the NFL. The Cardinals have lost their last five road games and are getting outscored by about 12 points per game in those contests. The Cards started off strong this year by covering the spread in each of their first three games. However, they haven't covered the number in two weeks, and are coming off of their worst lo s of the season at Mark Duper Jersey home.The pick:Rams -7Projected score:Rams 30-17Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, )Giants right tackle , appeared to a "b***-a** m************" while wearing street clothes on the sideline vs. the , and now, is dealing with a neck injury. Things are going swimmingly for New York. You want me to pick this team to cover any point spread? They haven't covered once this year! The Bills were upset by the Jags in London, so they are probably a tad angry. With the backing of their home crowd in prime time, expect a blowout.The pick:Bills -14Projected score:Bills 35-13 30-20 over (+10.5) (+2.5) 28-27 over Dolphins (-13.5) 28-14 over Panthers (-1.5) 24-20 over (-2.5) 27-23 over Jaguars (-4) 30-22 over Colts (+2.5) 23-20 over 21-20 over (+3)Eagles (-7) 24-16 over (-2.5) 31-28 over